Parliament Logjam on National Herald Case - A Political Vendetta or Frictional Politics

Vendetta, an English word, now politically recognized. Cambridge Dictionary define as – A long and violent argument between people or families in which, one group tries to harm the other in order to punish them for things that happened in the past. Looking to the meaning of Vendetta, from no angle it seems like a political but it is in use in Indian Society by top brass leaders of India, describing their positions. Some are recognizing himself as victim – innocent, alleging to other brands for misappropriate uses of such.

File Pic. by Rediff.com

November 27 2015, Suddenly social media started smiling, when they heard about a distinguish Chai session, Chai- Pe-Charch, very extraordinary word – Chai, I guess- it was  biggest nightmare of UPA during Lok sabha polls. People were astonished but considered as mood of nation. Astonished, why because, PM Modi had invited Madam Sonia along with Ex-PM Dr Manmohan Singh for bilateral dialogues and to find a mid way over GST.

GST Bill was introduced during UPA regime in 2013 but after oppose of few states rolled back. NDA efficiently suggested many changes and re-introduced this year with an addition of four components as per oppose of States. Petrol and Liquor are kept out from the list. Entry tax also excluded. A bonus benefit is suggested as 1% tax levy for maximum of 2 years. Means all 4 demands, which were in oppose during UPA regime, considered logically.

Movie was playing very nicely. All actors of UPA and NDA were performing their characters efficiently. People from every section were hopeful for GST-DJ and were asking each other about the consequences. BJP was very happy, was expecting a major breakthrough after Bihar defeats. One Bhajan song in the movie also ended gently when Chai wala PM offered tea to Madam Sonia and old owner Dr Manmohan singh of the same place at 7 RCR. Chai-pe-charcha completed successfully. Parliamentarians were in healthy mood. SP and JDU specially cleared their stand on GST in favor of govt. BJP was busy in calculating required numbers to pass GST in Rajya Sabha.

Pic. by Hindustantimes.com

Suddenly a political asteroid landed among Parliamentarians and everything changed. Ghost of National Herald damaged entire calculations.  The Delhi High Court dismissed plea of Congress president Sonia Gandhi and vice president Rahul Gandhi to quash the summons issued by trial court in the National Herald case. A festive mood circled the Modi fannisters and Dr Swamy camp. Saffron social media started celebrating the moment. Dr Swamy claimed the victory of justice. Anxious on GST, Modi Govt immediately sidelined himself and declare it words between Court and Dr Swamy. BJP cleared, they have nothing to do with National Herald in political terms.

UPA realized the fatal position and declared it as nothing but a Political Vendetta. Madam Sonia and RG also declared it as Vendetta, questioned on intensions and interventions of Govt over National Herald.

Entire political scene suddenly changed within an hour of rejection of plea over National Herald. Congress intensified his attacks in Parliament also. BJP completely denied any involvement and declared it as whims and fancies of a particular family. Rack-suck continued for many hours first in Parliament and later-on Parliament postponed for full day. Next day also similar attacks are carried out by Congress and counter parts of UPA. Anxious BJP questioned the intensions of congress and UPA and stated the fear of Winter session washout similar as Monsoon session due to continuous Parliament logjams. Finance minister Mr Jaitley reminded the legacy of first Parliamentarian of India, Mr J L Nehru  and his words in the first meeting of Parliament and encouraged for bilateral talks and requested to settle the issue through debate – the  healthy culture.

File Pic. by Indianexpress.com

First try to Understand, What is the case of National Herald. The National Herald Case is the ongoing case filed by Indian economist and politician Dr. Subramanium Swamy against politicians Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi, their companies and associated persons in a court in Delhi. As per the complaint filed in the court of the Metropolitan Magistrate, Indian National Congress granted an interest-free loan of 90.25 crore (US$13 million) to The Associated Journals Limited (AJL), owner of National Herald Newspaper. It was alleged that the loan was either not repaid or repaid in cash which is in violation of Section 269T of the Income Tax Act, 1961. A closely held company Young Indian was incorporated in November 2010 with a capital of 5 lakh (US$7,500) and it acquired almost all the shareholding of AJL and all its properties (alleged to be worth 50 billion (US$750 million)). Dr. Swamy alleged criminal misappropriation by Sonia Gandhi and her son Rahul Gandhi in this matter.

Prima facie, It persist like Parliament logjam is aiming to put pressure on running Govt to minimize their interventions in the National Herald case, if any or Congress and UPA is confronting himself for further proceedings of Parliament to to bring Govt in a compromising position.

In this matter, Modi Govt is simply trying to encash opportunity in two modes. First –  Trying to ride over Social Media trials in their favor and simultaneously they want to encash the popularity of Dr Swamy in their own favor. Second – after a big setback in Bihar, BJP has received an opportunity to harness their anti-corruption image and want to make up all losses of Delhi and Bihar defeats, for that BJP is involving himself in more and more Main Stream Media trails to clear and reflect their stands on corruption.

Govt has three major challenges. First they want to pass Bills in parliament where UPA is enjoying majority in Upper House (Rajya Sabha). Second, Govt wants to give a clear indications to his supporters that their stand is very clear on corruption. Third, Govt knows very well that so far they have not implemented a single big plan, which may touch the grass root level of Indian voters and Govt is very much hopeful in mode of financial touch with GST.

Rahul ji and his team has major three challenges. They want to gear another Bihar in Assam, West Bengal and UP. The National Herald may be a big damage to Rahul’s clean image irrespective of his party. Social Media expert – Mr Prashant Kishor has also suggested the same to Rahul ji to create an image of BECHARA. Means Rahul ji is a nice guy, irrespective of party and politics, means he will not do the same as previous leaders of Congress has done if he voted to power. Second – Rahul ji knows very well, Social Media is power of Modiji. A wrong message is coming to ground that Congress is saving his bad deeds by logjams of parliament. And again he is realizing that his all tourism to common man and ground people will go in vain if traced in national Herald. Third, This is holy truth that BJP is continuously losing grounds as so far they fail to reach the poor common man, hence if they will not create a tussle then they will be under tremendous pressure to run the parliament and pass the bill in wake up of country progress. Then entire credit will reach to Modi ji accounts automatically.

File Pic. by Rediff.com

Each Parliament logjams is extra burden on every common man, which leads to a loss of Rs 2 crore per day. Apart from this, sometimes this may lead to more than 100 crores in a week due to late implementation of financial activities or obstruction in delay in decision-making. Economy of country also effects from it,  which finally kills human emotions and expectations of crores of citizens/voters of India and they feel like direct dacoity in the pockets of every tax payers.
Recent Parliament logjams are also reflecting, one type of Friction Politics in India. Congress and UPA is obstructing Parliament houses but fail to give a clear message to common people of India.

Not scared, I am Indira’s Daughter-In-Law, says Sonia Ghandhi.

Congress  claimed that disruptions in RS were a protest against BJP’s inaction in Vyapam and Lalitgate Scam.

Democracy can’t function on and fancies of anyone, says Modi ji.

Democracy has two threats – Mantantra and Dhantantra, says Modi ji.

We oppose Polavaram - BJD

Democracy cannot be restricted to elections and Govt alone, says Modi ji.

Modi teri tanasahi nahi chalegi – Chant of Opposition during Logjam inside houses.

Modi, Amit Shah fought legal battles with dignity, BJP never disrupted Parliament – M. Venkaiya Naidu

BJP under pressure from RSS to block GST Bill – Randeep Surajewala.

No link between GST, National Herald issue – Rahul Ghandhi.

Arun Jaitley seeks Congress support to GST, says India can touch 9% growth.

Looking to entire wordings of parliamentarians, it is quite clear that these people are not very clear on their stands. Simultaneously Modi Govt is giving a helpless message to Indian people, which are expecting a Macho -   56 inch after giving them clear mandate. Modi Govt is fail to run both houses, which is the sole responsibility of ruling party.

File Pic. by Rediff.com

End of this Story is, A clear message is coming to us that Indian Politics is riding on Personal intensions, welfare and country is secondary. We want development, best facilities and welfare of every last men of society  and in return we are paying our duties in form of tax and civil liabilities. This is a highest disappointment to every voter of India, who feels that leader is working or in feel of Political Vendetta, ignoring their problems. Also this is a biggest setback that Parties are not clear on their stands and they are not aiming the final goal means progress of every last common man. These days voters are also amid confuse over Frictional Politics of various parties. In recent development, In Bihar Assembly Polls,  the victory margin of winning  Candidate was less than NOTA votes in 23 assemblies. Means many people had casted  NOTA which cannot be considered, good for democracy in any aspects. This is leading to a national shame for all us that even parties are failed to provide a single suitable candidate.

We do appreciate our Parliamentarians efforts. Please settle your disputes among each other and work jointly for the welfare of your own people. We request continuous running of both houses. We urge for proper dialogues, Parliament Logjams can never be a true practice of sensitive leader. This is the duty of ruling party to convince opposition at any cost, which reflects the beauty of democracy. Let us work together, Let Parliament work.
 

Reference : 1.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki and several news channels
                     2. www.rediff.com
                     3. www.hindustantimes.com
                     4. www.opindia.com

                     5. www.indianexpress.com

                     6. www.dnaindia.com

                     7. www.indiatoday.com

Is Bihar Election Results, A reflection of India ?

Few astonished youths were discussing in a office premises in leisure time of lunch, 32 seats in Lok Sabha and sudden loose in Bihar state assembly, is it fair !!!!

I was thinking overnight and talked with many friends and experts, those have keen watch on Indian Politics, Social Media and very true –  true Modi lovers and expert people from different different fields. Based on various discussions and data sharing, this blog took shape.

27^th Oct 2013, 5 exploded bombs in Patna, Gandhi Maidan rocked entire India, lakhs of crowd was waiting for Modiji, he came. Crowd cheered, he addressed and in the end- gave a hint – Go slow, take care, while returning to your homes.

20^th May 2014, when entire India and off course Modi fannisters were celebrating victory of Lok Sabha Polls, Bihar and UP was the state, who gave maximum charm. And biggest rival of Modi, Mr Kumar resigned afterward and here the story begins.

File Pic. via FirstPost.com

Bihar and UP consist 1/4^th India, maximum number of  youths below 25 and 35. Talented youths -  IAS, IPS and various recognized posts. Second category – maximum numbers of Manual Casual labors and third category – farmers.

Modiji came like a masiha, youths were dancing on his rhythm. Suddenly Modiji announced, we should get ready to take bitter medicine and reforms begin. Alright, things were moving on their places, many government departments undergone with review. Government decided to go on quality works in government facilities.

Youths and casual labors/private employees eyeing on Achhe Din, received a biggest jolt when India, World’s 4^th largest steel producer turned net steel importer in the year to March 31, 2015 as an oversupplied China flooded it with cheap metals mainly for constructions. Big steel giants like SAIL, Bhusan, JSPL, JSW, Kalyani Steels were the biggest looser as India’s steel imports were jumped up to 72% in the fiscal year to end-March to 9.3 million tones and April-June, it was 49% approx 7.23 million tones.

A worker cuts a steel rod inside a Steel Factory. File Pic. via In.Reuters.com 

Consequences were that much worse, Bhusan received Q2 net loss of Rs 733 crore, Tata steels sales dropped by 17%, JSPL was forced to reduce price  by 25%, JSW productions also declined. Till then India was importing 1 million tones of steel a month, 12% import duty was not enough to protect Indian local industry.

In Sep-2015, Govt announced  20% Safeguard import duty on select steel products from recent surge in inward shipments.

23^rd Nov 2015, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said – Government is considering proactive steps to improve the health of Steel and Aluminum sectors, which are ruling under the impact of decline in global prices.

 Coal crisis was another setback for youths and casual labors/private employees eyeing on more job opportunities in India. Mostly Power companies bagging captive mines were unlikely to resolve the power crisis as about 75% of power capacity tied to these blocks do not have PPA (Power purchase agreement) with any state and those have no PPA were likely to suffer losses and turn into non-profitable assets. This is about 7,878MW commissioned and 12,399MW about to commission. Since, PPA were not signed, looking at payout, such companies became bankrupt.

A coal mine in odisha. Pic. via Vivan Mehra

Govt made Rs 400,000 crore by auction and allotment of 67 Coal blocks. But Coal auction failed to push production, only 25% blocks resume output of the 24 producing coal blocks auctioned to private companies and allotted to state utilities, only six have commenced production, of a combined 2.5 million tones (mt).

Hindalco Industries  bagged three coal mines in the Schedule-II auction — something that certainly paves the way for partial raw material security for the company but the market was not seem to be impressed. This is evident from the fact that the Hindalco stocks fallen six per cent afterward.

“The company runs the risk of locking itself at high captive costs. While the mines are already being purchased at close to or higher than the e-auction landed price, the cost differential is likely to widen in the long term due to the annual escalation clause on bids,” said Abhisar Jain, senior analyst with Centrum Broking.

Now in forth stage of coal-auction, The government is in the process of finalizing 8-10 blocks for the unregulated non-power sectors including cement, steel and aluminum, although the official was tight-lipped on the total reserves extractable from these mines.

First cancellation of more than 200 Coal Blocks, then fall of Steel Industry, Coal crisis and purchasing of coal mines at high rate claimed a new slowdown in Indian Industry – core sector, metal sector, coal sector, mining, transport section etc all are widely effected and most them were private employees, casual labors, engineers, and subsidiaries companies and their employees. Entire India knows – who are the most claimed casual labors, private employees and employed people- definitely Biharis.

Pic. via Shutterstock

Also few rumors also spread in the market that NDA Govt is taking revenge from UPA friendly companies. Current employees suffered, fresh waiting for employment suffered, youths got suffered and mostly are from Bihar or UP or nearby states.

There are following reasons, which were directly or indirectly joined hands in defeat of #BJP in Bihar :

1.     Unemployment – Slowdown of current businesses/Industries are fail to bring new employment to Biharis in Bihar or any part of India.

2.     Problem in current employment - As discussed about slowdown in Steel, Power, Core sectors etc., lakhs of employees effected. Some of them lost their jobs, many have not received their payments on time, were forced to comprise in the same job and even some of them are forced to continue low profile jobs than their previous jobs. Mostly low profile employees are from Bihar and nearby states.

3.     No sign of new Employment  - Modiji committed lots of things in Bihar. From agriculture to opening of Rice Mills & Fertilizers factories – Neem coating – Bla … Bla.. Bla..

Youths and casual labors failed to get a single opportunity of employment by BJP in Bihar or any other parts of India, causes & claimed due to Modi Govt.

4.     No opening in Government Jobs - 50% population of Bihar are mostly youths and below 25 and 35. Either casual labors, students, aspirants or farmers in category. Even educated youths of Bihar also do not received any concrete opening in Govt jobs, neither in Bihar nor in other parts of India.

5.     Mahangaae - Pulses (Dal) prices were touching sky rocket, and BJP Govt awoke very late, just in between elections. Repeated raids collected lakh tones of Pulses in various parts of India but very late. Mahangaae was on top agenda of Modiji. So he fail to impress the voters of Bihar. Strict actions were needed to formulate earlier to control rise of cost of pulses or similar products. A bad impression reached to people that current Govt is also sleeping like others or least bother about problems of poor community.

6.     Aarakshan or too much democracy in BJP - Initiation by RSS supremo on Aarakshan and inflammatory speeches or dialogues by several BJP leaders on  Dadri- Akhlakh killing then dalit- Sunapeda helped to polarize all OBC, EBC, SC/ST votes away from BJP.

7.     State leaders were on back foot - Election campaign was taking place like corporate duties. Amit Shah and Modiji forced all leaders out of game, people started lagging state faces. Normally a WIFE also complains if too much interference from Father/Mother-In-Laws and his husband is silently obeying to them. This was reflecting a kind of immatureness of state leadership.

8.     Flop show on Social Media - Flop show by BJP team continued in Bihar after Delhi elections. Crusaders fail to align youths of Bihar in main stream of BJP like Lok Sabha Polls.

9.     No where Kisans in loop - God knows, BJP knows or does not know, India is country of farmers and 70% people stays in India and Bihar.

10.  Power Pack of Poverty - SECC surveys say that 74% people of Rural India still earns less than Rs 5000 and in Bihar, it is around 71%. BJP fails to impress the last line crusaders – Antyoday. Not a single plan came for such, who can touch them heartily except Jan_Dhan Yojana.  But Jan_Dhan is all about their own earnings and income.

11.  Delay in Coal-Block distribution - Delay in coal block distributions and auctions at high rate also curtain the Industrial growth of India. Local Industry suffered widely, coal prices are touching sky rocket. Rs 600/- per ton coal is now available @ Rs 2500/-. Small Industries were forced to shut down in crisis of coal or high captive costs. Similar way, maximum sufferers are the Bihari labors, and low profile staffs working in various Industries.

12.   Rumors in Industry Sector - In revenge to UPA friendly Industries, Modi Govt is not taking any initiatives to enhance their conditions. Situations are worsened in such a way that, employees, labors, low profile staffs are not getting salary on time or delayed by 3-4 months. Hence family members, those are residing in Bihar, were in revenge mode while casting their votes for non-cooperation of BJP Central Govt to concern Industries. Entire India knows about the strength and contribution of Bihari labors in Industry. Lakhs of Bihari labors, private employees are associated with more than 100 of big companies and more than 1000 small Industries throughout India. 

Similar type of Challenges, BJP is going to face in Uttar Pradesh elections in 2017. Prima Facia this is story of entire India but various places have their own priorities.

Bihar and UP’s first love is a Job, least bother about developments and facilities, they can compromise.

Western India wants good facilities, they can compromise in Jobs.

Modi Govt has achieved lots of milestones in Defence, Internal Securities and Foreign Relations including FDI, Investments, advent of Technology. But Modi Govt must realize that there is a electoral process before and after every Govt. Our 70% populations are Youths, Villagers, Casual Labors and most important Electoral Voters. Its better to develop 100 Industrial corridors and 100 Software parks than 100 Smart Cities. We can wait for Bullet trains, standard facilities, Wi-Fi  but it is mandatory to impress the last line of Society. Programs should run from Bottom to Top, not from Corporate to Casual labors welfare. Middle class can take care of themselves if they will get social and internal security but it is very important that #Modi Govt invest his starting 10 years  for welfare of UP-Bihar-Bengal and Kisans-Casual Labors-Youths of entire India. Rest problems will automatically resolved, once Metros and mega towns will be free from outsiders of states. Facilities will enhance automatically. Rest on Defense and Foreign dialogues, Modiji is performing outstanding and Forbes has accepted him as 9^th Powerful Leader of World.

Reference : 1.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki and several news channels
                     2. Socio-Economic and Caste Census 2011 released by govt of India.
                     3. www.hindustantimes.com
                     4. www.business-standards.com
                     5. www.indiatoday.in

Two Titanic, Sinking Ships of India – Bihar and Odisha

Asoka The Great attacked on that powerful & trade hub state Kalinga, where Kharavela from Mahameghavahana dyanasty was ruling  in 261 BC. The cruel king of Maurya dynasty fought a deadly fight near Daya river, almost 1.5 lakhs people killed in that and finally Asoka won but lost his cruelness. He became Buddhists saint and started spreading Buddhism with Karuvaki. Kharavela was great warrior and was responsible for propagation of Jainism in Indian sub-continent.

Pic. via The Hindu

Recalling the powerful, glorious and historical past of both states, make us proud and very delightful. Bihar and Odisha both separated from Bengal in 1^st April 1936, recognized as two different states. At present GDP of Bihar is around $59.4 billion, Odisha is around $46 billion.  If we look for the distributions of their economy, in Bihar – 22% agriculture, 5% Industry and 73% service whereas in Odisha – 15.4% agriculture, 33.34% industry and 51% services. Population of both states are 9.3 crore and 4.3 crore respectively. Growth rate of both states is not so smooth. 

Growth rates of both states are given below :

FY                                Bihar                   Odisha

2007-08                      7.6%                      10.95%

2008-09                      14.5%                    7.75%

2009-10                      10.5%                    4.55%

2010-11                      14.7%                    7.50%

2011-12                      13.1%                    4.94%

2012-13                      15.05%                  9.40%

2013-14                      8.82%                    5.60%

2014-15                      9.92%                    8.78%

Bihar is expecting 10% growth, Odisha is eyeing with 8.1% and India as a whole on 7.5% - 8.5% in 2015-16.  As on today India has achieved 7.3%, for the first time, GDP has crossed the magic mark of $ 2.06 trillion.

These figures may be looking somehow fruitful in India but in Bihar and Odisha, it is red-triggered. We will go on ground reality, we will find that 90% households of Bihar still lives in rural areas, in Odisha, it is around 87% out of that 0.03% households has no shelter in Bihar, 0.06% in Odisha. Around 59% households of Bihar are casual labors, 65% households has no land, 18% households are engaged in agricultural works. Same hand in Odisha, 70.5% households are casual labors, 54% households has no land, 23% households are engaged in agricultural works.

Pic. via Timesofindia.com

Coming to income in Bihar, around  70% households earn less than Rs 5000 in a month whereas condition of Odisha is furious, it is around 87.88%. Around 54,199 houses of Odisha are fully dependent on alms, provided by govt. Around 4% female households are either widow or divorced in Odisha, who has no care taker.

SC/ST people are most neglected one in society and are maximum sufferer of any kind of developments, due to their indigenous claims over dependency on land and forest but such dependency never taken in accounts except few onetime payment of some financial supports. From British rule, we are following the principle of “Eminent Domain” which means any unclaimed land or land without patta is govt property and hence SC/ST people are maximum sufferers because they never owns any lands due to their Khanabadosh nature.

Pic. via TheHindu

SC people are around 3.33 crores households in India, 29 lakhs households in Bihar and 15 lakhs households in Odisha. SC are around 2 crores households in India, 3 lakhs households in Bihar and around 20 lakhs households in Odisha. 23% households of tribal and 16% households of SC in Odisha earns less than Rs 5000 same hand in Bihar it is 1% households of tribal and 14% households of SC earns less than Rs 5000. Not only that only 1% household of tribal in Bihar are engaged in agriculture in Bihar, rest 15% households are manual labors and others are engaged in different different works. Only 1% households of SC are engaged in agriculture, 14% are manual labors and rest in small small jobs. In Odisha, around 2.36% tribal households and 2% SC households are engaged in agricultural works, 13% tribal households and 13% SC households people are working as manual labors and rest in small jobs. 0.54% SC households and 0.48% tribal households are engaged in govt jobs in Odisha.

Pic. via IndianExpress

Conditions of women are also very worse in Odisha and Bihar. Around 50% women are illiterate. Around 1.7 lakhs women households in Odisha are engaged in agricultural works, 6 lakhs households as manual labors, 1% households in various small works and heads their houses. In Bihar, 2.5 lakhs women households are engaged in agriculture, 12 lakhs households as manual labors and 0.5% households in various small jobs to serve their households. Around 50000 women households in Odisha are engaged as domestic servant and around 24 thousand households are fully dependent on begging/alms.

Odisha has 25% India’s iron reserves, 10% steel productions, top producer of aluminum, owning 7381 MW of power plants, coal reserves, bauxite reserves, Manganese reserves etc are available with lots of other resources but still Odisha is poorest in India. Bihar carries 58% population below 25 years, wide range of human resources, plenty of fertile lands, still industrial revolution in Bihar is awaited.

Lack of political willingness, extreme poverty, illiteracy, corruption and lack of vision of future roadmaps and policies are few major problems of Bihar and Odisha. In Bihar, leaders are engaged in caste and vote bank politics, whereas, in Odisha, leaders are engaged in freebie-politics.

Pic, via NewIndianExpress

Major reasons of Titanic tragedy was :

Warnings ignored: Before journey of Titanic, several warnings were issued about iceberg but crew had ignored all.

Binoculars were locked: Binoculars of Titanic were locked up by crew members, hence they fail to see iceberg from marginal distance.

Less life Boats: Titanic had very less life boats.

Steering error: Major reason of Titanic drawing was steering error. It was told to push the tiller right to make the ship head left, but in wrong communication it reached to down label to push the ship turn right.

High speed: Over confident screw of Titanic was running ship at high speed of 22 nots (41kmph), just few less than maximum speed 24 knots (44kmph). Low grade iron rivets were used in manufacturing of Titanic.

Same way, Odisha and Bihar are running on instant profit making paths, ignoring all warnings and inputs. Poor governance and high corruption has made lots of things miserable. Freebie, unemployment, political interests and lack of capacity building are few reasons, which are carrying both states on the path of self destructions. In Bihar, wrong political moves has destroyed all arithmetic calculations. Corruptions, Kidnapping and crimes are rising heads. 

Reference : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki and several news channels
and Socio-Economic and Caste Census 2011 released by govt of India.

Bihar Elections 2015 : Legacy of Caste Politics, Mandal Commission, JP Movement & A Tale of Two Ideology

Jay Prakash Narayan or JP is new face of new thought of Bihar after golden time of great empire, emperors, Ashok, Budhha, Chanakya, Valmiki, Bismillah, Mahaveer, Nalanda etc. Latest trends are Madhubani paintings, Mithila paintings, Silk of Bhagalpur, Bhojpuri Film Industries, folks singer, festivals etc.

                                                          After independence JP had returned in state politics after long time in 1960. He was very much annoyed with corruption and miss-governance of state and centre, 1974 was the year of high inflation, poverty, unemployment, lack of supplies and essential commodities. He was leading a silent procession in form of peaceful agitation, procession was lathi charged. He addressed a big crowd on 5^th June 1974  in Ghandhi Maidan, Patna and said –

“This is a revolution friends ! We are not here merely to see the Vidhan Sabha dissolved. This is the only milestone of our journey. But we have a long way to go…. After 27 years f freedom, people of their country are wracked by hunger, rising prices, corruption……. Oppressed by every kind of the Justice…. It is a total revolution, we want, Nothing less !”

Lots of students from various parts of India, joined JP movement, also called “Bihar Movement”. JP asked for, “Total Revolution”.

JP attracted 1 Lakh crowd at Ramlila ground, Delhi and thrilled the place with a famous poem of national poet- Dinkar

“Singhasan Khali Karo Ke Janta Aati Hai”.

Crowd was full of energy and shattered the entire nation including Congress Govt, sitting in Centre, PM Indira Ghandhi ji. She understood that scene and later on Emergency in 1975 and so on……………….

File Pic. via FirstPost

 Bihar has lowest per capita income in India, $59.4 Billion GDP, 13^th state in GDP; 22% - Agriculture, 5% - Industry and Services – 73%  contribute in economy, 63.8% Literacy, Male literacy- 77.7% and Female literacy – 55%, Urban Literacy – 71.9%, Rural Literacy- 43.9%, Sex Ratio – 921 F : 1000 M, 58% Population is under 25 years, total Population is around 8 Crores and 85% population stays in rural areas of Bihar.

If we refer development figures of Bihar, GDP grew @4.0% between FY 1990-2004 and @10.8%  between FY 2005-12 , 15.5%@ FY 2012-13 and later on slipped @8.82% FY 2013-14, @9.92% FY 2014-15.
                                                   

Mandal Commission was set up in 1978 by Morarji Desai Govt to identify the socially, economically and educationally backward classes on certain indicators and aim was to add them in mainstream of society by suitable reservations. It was chaired by B. P. Mandal. Commission reported his report in Dec 30, 1980 and recommended 27% reservation for OBC people. By this sum up of reservation, it was reaching to 49.5% as quota in Govt jobs and public universities. Meanwhile Janta Party Govt collapsed, Later on V. P. Singh Govt tried to implement those recommendations of Mandal commission in 1989 and faces heat of strong protests by students and others from every parts of India. Not only he failed to implement them but his Govt also collapsed with that. That was the beginning of Mandal Politics in India.                                                                                                                         Students came out through J P Movement, grasped Mandal Politics as a opportunity in Bihar and UP. Socialism added in that as Ghee in political eatery. Mulayam Singh Yadav took command in UP and Lalu Prasad in Bihar. With the blow of socialistic perceptive, very soon both yadav eastablished in their places. Lalu Yadav sworn as CM in Bihar, claiming himself leader of backwards with own 11.7% yadav Voters in 1990. Cngress was in opposition. Lalu Prasad again won in 1995, BJP came in opposition. Sushil Modi elected as leader of opposition. Later on Mr Yadav resigned, when CBI charge sheeted him in fodder scam on PIL of Mr Modi. His wife Rabri Devi continued as CM, re elected in 2000 with M-Y calculations, since Muslims are also owning 14% vote. Claiming to success of cast politics, Lalu Yadav said,

“Swarg nahin, lekin swar diya (I have given voice, if not heaven)”, referring to poor and backwards.

Looking to caste distribution in Bihar :

Forward  (Bhumihar- 6%, Brahmin- 5%, Rajputs- 3% and kayasth- 1%) 

OBC  or BC-I (Yadav- 14%, Kurmis- 4%, Koeris- 8%)

MBC/EBC or BC-II (Kushwaha- 4%, Teli- 3% etc)

Muslims- 16.5%

Dalits- 6% (Paswan/Dusadh- 4%)

Mahadalits- 10%

  Still 85% population still lives in rural areas, out of that only 57% male are educated, 29.6% female are educated.

File Pic. via Zee News

In 2005 Bihar Assembly polls, assembly got hung and president rule imposed till Oct-2005. In fresh elections in Oct, people of Bihar ditched RJD Govt and gave clear mandate to JDU-BJP alliance, NDA won 143 seats out of 243 with 36% vote share. Mr Kumar reelected as CM of Bihar in Nov 2010 with a landslide victory, securing 206 seats out of 243.

Mr Kumar was appointed as Bihar CM in 2000 but resigned in lack of majority. Prior to CM post, Mr Kumar was working in NDA Cabinet as Rail Minister from 1998 to 99, later on rejoined cabinet from 2001 to 2004. The infamous burning of passengers by Muslim mob at Godhra railway station in Gujrat  and Godhra riots of 2002 happened happened during his tenure as railway minister.

Post Godhra, Mr Kumar enjoyed CM post in Bihar with BJP alliance but when Gujarat CM,  Narendra Modi upgraded as Chief Election Campaigner as BJP, he engaged in war of words to secure his secular credentials as Modi was represented as communal Hindu face and he was afraid to lose his Muslim votes,  resulted split of 17 years old coalition with BJP on 16^th June 2013. He retained his Govt with support of Congress and others. It was guessed, Mr Kumar was wishing to represent himself as face of Minorities, other hands Congress was losing his face among voters, he thought, scattered votes of Congress and secular votes will add in his accounts.

File Pic. via NDTV

BJP was smart enough to identify Mr Kumar successor as LJP. NaMo was represented as OBC face and model of development, resulted complete polarization of Swarn votes, strong backing of 16% non-Yadav OBCs and 22% most backward classes votes (EBC) plus LJP 5% paswan dalit votes created a new chemistry of 38.8% vote shares, never ever before succeed to secure 31 seats out of 40 in LS2014.

 In blow of NaMo Tsunami all swept, BJP returned back to power with massive victory and Mr Kumar shrinked at 2 seats of Lok Sabha from 20. It was a big embarrassment for Kumar and he resigned from his post and he played his 16% Mahadalit and Dalits card with sworning Jitan Ram Manjhi as a Bihar CM. Mr Manjhi denied to act like ROBOT and begun his own politics stunts with collecting some anti-Nitish JDU MLAs. Mr Kumar started luring in thirst of post and utilized all ways fingers to pull down Mr Manjhi. But since more than 10 MLAs shifted to Majhi camp, Mr Kumar reached on back foot and requested his traditional anti Mr Yadav to support on name of keeping communal forces out of power.

File Pic. via PTI

15^th Bihar Assembly is about to end and fresh elections will take place within months. JP ex- students reached under one umbrella and birthed one new alliance Janta Party to secure all mandal votes and stop MODIfications of voters. Initial days JDU invested in damage controls with RJD, one time traditional rival and targeted as Jungle Raaj, Kushashan and blaw blaw…..

 10^th May 2015,  Sarad Yadav says, “Nitish Kumar or I never said that there was Jungle Raaj (in Bihar during Lalu Prasad’s rule) ‘’.

June 8^th 2015,  Lalu Prasad Yadav says, “Nitish Kumar My Chhota Bhai, was kidnapped by BJP’’.

24^th June 2015, Nitish Kumar says, “Till I am there Jungle Raaj can never come. I had established rule of law and this will continue to prevail’’.

BJP is also making new strategy for Bihar Polls, keeping eyes on clear majority, believing on rebel of JDU and RJD both with open doors. Hijacking of Yadav votes, youths from all castes, securing OBC-MBC-Swarn votes are key majors of their steps. It is expected BJP will establish himself as Party for all, will try to shade his forward party image by giving more tickets to winning candidates from all sections. Modi magic, vision of powerful India and lots of new welfare programme, employment etc are few added advantage of BJP in which new voters- Youth may rely from all sections except minorities, this kind of strategy  also be added in campaigns of BJP & NDA to attract such.

File Pic. via Indian Express

BJP is believing of Modi magic and performance of 1 year of Modi Govt in centre, looking relaxed but focused.

14^th April 2015, Amit Shah says, “ Zero plus zero is a zero’’  referring new alliance of JP students.

22^nd June 2015, R V Paswan says “ NDA will win Bihar Polls with 2/3^rd majority’’.

Like Ekta Kapoor Serial’s suspense, in Bihar Election, natural allies of 17 years (BJP-JDU) are hostile to each other. Both parties have got new partners (RJD & LJP), meanwhile partners have some rebellions, informers (Manjhi & Yadav) who is helping the new enemies (BJP and JDU) of politics. One traditional rival (RJD) is now working with JDU hiding his own political ambitions of senior posts.Big Boss, who enters in every serials in climax are Amit Shah and Mulam Singh Yadav, who are waiting for their right move and defeat each other. This time Bihar Polls may give a strong message to either side. Planned campaign and new time voters may contribute a leading role in Bihar. In assembly polls,  fragmented mandate used to come so far, voters rely on local participation of leaders, hence selection of candidate will also play a big role. Apart from this VOTE KATWA has also some role to play. As a voter point of view, Voters are also afraid by return of Jungle Raaj, recently Mr Kumar has tried to give some message by arrest of few BAHUBALI, but how much it will impact of Voters, time will say !!!!

Reference : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki and several news channels